Construct an argument for or against a particular policy for dealing with global warming as an environmental problem relevant to your country. For an example you could argue for or against a particular response to global warming, and the role your country should play in this solution.
The learning outcomes of this assignment are that at the end of this assignment you will be able to:
Give background information to an economics problem which will enable your reader to understand the nature of the problem/issue that you are analysing.
1. Introduction and Background
Global warming is an issue that has led to a whole lot of concern by the international community. Bast (2007) states that “global warming is the biggest environmental issue of our time.” The effects of this environmental issue are so imminent to the extent that even African countries, South Africa for instance, are taking part in international gatherings concerning climatic change.
South Africa is one of the many nations, namely France, Sweden, China and Germany, that participated in the Kyoto Protocol in 2005, to which calls upon the top 35 industrialised nations to cut carbon dioxide and other gas emissions by 5.2 percent below their 1990 levels by 2012 (Yeld, 2004).
Global warming is defined as the observed and projected increases in the average temperature of the earth’s atmosphere and oceans (http://timeforchange.org). According to Wikipedia, the global surface temperature has increased by 0.74±0.18 during the past century. The direct effects of global warming are known to be an increase in temperature on the earth by about 3% to 5% by 2100. The high global temperatures are expected to increase the sea levels by at least 25 meters by 2100 (Ferguson, 2006).
2. The effects of Global Warming
The reason why global warming is taken so seriously is because it has very large social, environmental and economic costs. Global warming effects are massive and affect the world as a whole, not only one particular area. Because of global warming, sea levels are rising due to thermal expansion, and also due to melting land ice. The secondary effects include precipitation amounts and patterns changing. Because of changes in global temperatures, the frequency intensity and duration of floods, droughts and heat waves and tornadoes have increased (Bast, Taylor and Lehr, 2003).
Other indirect effects of global warming are lower agricultural yields, further glacial retreat, reduced summer stream flows, species extinctions. In addition, malaria is returning into areas where it had been extinguished earlier. According to Van Schalkwyk (2005), the number of South African at high risk of malaria may quadruple by 2020, due to the higher temperatures associated with global warming. These higher temperatures make the environment more conducive for mosquito breeding. Van Schalkwyk (2005) adds that the provinces of Gauteng, Mpumalanga, North West and Kwazulu Natal could be malaria zones by 2050. In places where floods occur, there is an increase in water-borne diseases such as cholera and bilharzias. The wellbeing of people is destroyed of the account of natural hazards such as floods, cyclones and tornadoes that occur, especially when infrastructure such as clinics are destroyed. According to the Smith’s GNP criterion for measuring social welfare, the welfare of individuals is expected to decline (Kuotsoyiannis, 1998)
The destruction of infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and telecommunication also lead to the disruption of the transportation industry such that the day-to-day operations of firm are hindered. Private investment declines and GDP falls.
The high temperatures proliferate desertification. This affects the poor small scale rural farmers by reducing their output. Global warming also leads to plant species used for medicinal purposes running extinct. Hotter drier weather in the semi-arid west of South Africa may reduce maize production, generate a proliferation of pests. In the, moister areas the east, rainfall is expected to increase resulting in thickets encroaching into the productive grasslands, threatening livestock and wildlife activities. Tourism, the main driver of development in a number of African countries could be destroyed (Bast, Taylor and Lehr, 2003).
The loss of the natural resources such as arable land and wildlife due to heat waves, droughts, floods and desertification will culminate in a fall in Gross Domestic Product, GDP since the environmental temperatures do not sustain the agriculture industry such that and livestock crop production decline. The high malaria costs could lead to at an added cost to the country of between 0.1% and 0.2% of GDP (Van Schalkwyk, 2005). It is clear that there will be a need for high government expenditure to the extent that there is low GDP increase since high government expenditure for social purposes is associated with crowding out. This is according to the Keynesian transition mechanism (Fourie, 2000). Generally, economic growth is impeded.
It should be acknowledged from the above discussion that global warming causes a wide range of negative socio-economic effects in addition to the environmental effects. The potential consequences of global warming could be devastating for the world's poorest continent, Africa, yet its nations are among the least equipped to cope states that the potential consequences of global warming are devastating for the Africa since Africa is least prepared to cope with these effects (Otter, 2005).
3. Solutions of slowing down globalisation
According the National Geographics, if the emission of greenhouse gasses is stopped today, the earth’s temperature is still expected to rise. However, the measures taken to reduce emissions today still make a big difference in the future (http://environment.nationalgeographic.com). The reduction of emission of greenhouse gases is achieved by resorting to other sources of energy other than fossil fuels(coal, petrol, diesel) such as harnessing wind energy, solar energy, natural gas, bio-fuels (from crops) and nuclear power. The solutions to global warming are not only reducing pollution but also include forestation and re-afforestation because plants absorb carbon dioxide, one of the greenhouse gasses. Increasing energy efficiency and vehicle efficiency also assists because it means that less energy is used, thus less pollution is produced.
In South Africa, the Environmental Affairs and Tourism Minister, Van Schalkwyk (2004), put a ban on the use of 4x4 vehicles on the beaches of KwaZulu Natal Province and opened up provisions that catered for some beaches to be opened for recreational use by 4x4s. According to Van Schalkwyk (2004), the ban, unfortunately, led to the destruction of some local economies such as those in the St. Lucia in KwaZulu Natal province. Moreover, tourists simply fled to the beaches of Mozambique where the local economies are blooming though at the expence of the environment. Van Schalkvyk (2004) was at this time motivated to lift the ban on 4x4s. He also stresses the need for the provision of environmental training.
Currently there is a debate concerning the solutions to global warming. Others feel that as individuals, their contributions in targeting global warming are negligible, so they are not inspired to doing anything about this global crisis. However, some feel that each individual’s effort will eventually lead to a global success with regard to eliminating or slowing down global warming (www.saep.org). It is sometimes necessary according to Keynesian economists for government to intervene, in this case due to the presence of market failure and failure of individuals to act rationally and ethically with regard to conservation issues. In line with the resolutions of the Greenland Dialogue to discuss the Kyoto Protocol & climatic change and other international conferences linked with global warming, Van Schalkwyk (2009) states that the South African “…government has also made clear its intent to put an escalating price on carbon, be that through market mechanisms, a carbon tax, or a combination of these instruments."
4. Assessment of South Africa’s step against global warming
The purpose of this article is to analyse the effectiveness of one policy that has been implemented in South Africa to fight globalisation. This is necessary to determine if the policy is successfully or it is in need for restructuring to increase its effectiveness.
Focus is on the effects of a carbon tax on producers. This means that a tax, Pigouvian tax, is charged on the firms which pollute the atmosphere. The higher level of emissions, the more tax the producer pays. The tax creates incentives for the producers to reduce both their output and their discharge. This is done because the private costs do not cover the actual social cost of the tax to the public. The tax covers the gap between the private costs incurred by the firm and the actual cost faced by the community. The underlying principle of environmental charges is that the discharger of pollution, if ‘rational’ will reduce their pollution up to the point where the marginal cost of the reduction is equal to the charge on the marginal unit of pollution (www.maf.govt.nz). This tax also becomes a disincentive to pollute to the effect that firms will take the necessary measures to avoid pollution and thus the tax by making their waste less hazardous to the environment (Pigou, 1920; Rosen, 2000).
The Pigouvian tax on pollution, the carbon tax, in this case, has its successes and limitations. It discourages producers from emitting harmful substances into the atmosphere. Moreover, the revenue received by the government can be used to attend to the social needs of the people, whether they arise from the polluted air or they are other needs that may arise such as water provision. The tax system provides polluters with the flexibility and encouragement for further innovations and the development of improved technologies. Taxes attract less opposition because they are less disruptive to the market than regulation (they can keep doing the activity by paying the charge). Taxes are flexible as their levels can be adjusted and they don’t need to change policy as new alternatives arise (unlike regulations) (Pigou, 1920; Black et al, 2001).
However, taxes are characterised by weaknesses. One of its main limitations is that it is levied against output rather than the actual discharge and therefore may have other consequences upon the local economy. Another problem is that the method requires precise estimations of the external costs to calculate the tax. Another flaw is that the method requires precise estimations of the external costs to calculate the tax. Obtaining these means that the process of setting a tax is very open to political interference and so the outcome depends less on what the actual damage is, and more upon the relative bargaining strengths of the affected parties. Moreover, taxes require a lot of information to set them at the right levels and there may be some mis-allocation initially. Taxes are too slow if immediate results are needed and difficult to plan for because the results depend upon the responses of individuals. Less administration is required with taxes for a small number of landowners because the responsibility for managing the activity is left to individuals. But with large numbers of affected people there can be a lot of extra administration costs (Black et al, 2001; Rosen 2000).
The work by Baumol and Oates (1975) has shown that indeed taxes are necessary to overcome public externalities such as pollution. They however have met opposition by, Coase (1960), Buchanan and Stubblebine (1862). Barnet (1980), on the other hand states that the findings by Baumol and Oates (1975) are not correct because they fail to deal adequately with taxation of externalities, especially if those externalities are for firms in imperfect competition. Barnet (1980) concludes from his studies that where polluters are imperfectly competitive, second best optimal tax rates may be less than marginal effluent harm; and the amount by which optimal tax rates fall short of marginal damages may increase as price elasticity of demand for the polluter's produce decreases.
Because of the findings by Buchanan (1969) and Barnet (1980) above, David and Sinclair-Desgagne (2005) state that because firms that pollute the most operate in imperfect markets, optimal emission tax should be higher than the marginal social cost of pollution. Intuitively, imperfect competition between environment firms results in abatement prices higher than the marginal cost of abatement. This means that emission costs should be higher than the marginal damages so that polluters will reduce their pollution.
In the light of the above argument, Nimubona and Sinclair-Desgagné (2005), show that taxes targeting polluting emissions must adjust to the relative market power of environment firms (on the abatement market) and polluters (on both the final good and the abatement markets). All things equal, a relatively more concentrated and powerful eco-industry warrants higher emission taxes. Once this is done, the taxes set are high enough to ensure that firms, whether operating under perfect competition or not, are discouraged from emitting dangerous greenhouse gases which contribute to global warming.
5. Recommendations and Conclusion
This study, thus, recommends that the South African government charges a Pigouvian carbon tax on firms. However, the tax rates should be charged considering that firms are operating in imperfect markets. This is to ensure that the taxes are high enough to act as disincentives, for pollution. By doing this, emission of greenhouse gases is kept at a minimum and thus global warming is delayed.
The public should be taught about the other sources of energy that are more environment-friendly such as bio-gas, solar energy, wind energy that are alternatives to fossil fuels.
These measures reduce pollution and eventually combat global warming in the long run.
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